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UK Pension Drawdown Calculator: How Long Will Your Pot Last?

How long will your pension pot last in drawdown? Enter your pot, withdrawal rate and expected real return to see year-by-year balance and depletion risk.

8 min readUpdated April 2026

Pension drawdown is the most flexible way to take income from a defined contribution pension. You leave the pot invested and withdraw money as you need it. The big question is: how long will the pot last?

Use the calculator below to model different withdrawal rates and growth assumptions. The 4% rule is a common rule of thumb, but research suggests UK retirees may want a slightly lower starting rate (around 3.5%) to account for sequence-of-returns risk and longer life expectancy.

Pension Drawdown Calculator

How long will your pension last? Adjust the sliders to see year-by-year balance.

Your details

£50k£2m
£1k£100k
0%8%
5080
70100

Your projection

Pot will last
0 years
at this withdrawal rate
Depletion risk by end-age
0%
simplified estimate

How this works: Real return is the return after inflation, so figures are in today's money. The calculator compounds your pot, subtracts the withdrawal each year, and tracks balance until depletion or your end-age. Guidance only — speak to an FCA-regulated adviser for a personalised plan.

How the calculation works

The calculator compounds your pot at the chosen real return (already adjusted for inflation), subtracts the annual withdrawal at the start of each year, and tracks the balance until it hits zero or you reach your hoped end-age.

The depletion risk percentage is a simplified estimate based on whether your withdrawal rate exceeds the safe-withdrawal threshold of around 4% in real terms. A more rigorous approach uses Monte Carlo simulation across thousands of return sequences — an FCA-regulated adviser can run this for you.

Why real return matters

Real return is your investment return after inflation. If your portfolio grows 5% but inflation is 3%, your real return is roughly 2%. Drawdown calculations should always use real returns so the answer is in today's purchasing power.

Rule of thumb: A balanced portfolio (60% equities / 40% bonds) has historically delivered a real return of around 3-4% per year over long periods. More aggressive portfolios can target 4-5% real but with higher volatility.

Frequently Asked Questions

Most planners use 3.5%-4% per year as a starting safe withdrawal rate for a 30-year retirement. Younger retirees, or those wanting more certainty, may use 3% to 3.5%.
Yes. If you withdraw more than your portfolio earns in real returns, the pot will eventually deplete. The calculator above shows roughly when this could happen at your chosen rate.
Drawdown offers flexibility and potential growth, but you bear investment risk. Annuities offer guaranteed income for life. Many retirees use a blend of both to balance security and flexibility.
A conservative real return is 2-3%, balanced portfolios target 3-4%, and equity-heavy portfolios may target 4-5%. Your adviser will recommend an assumption based on your strategy.
25% of the pot is tax-free (subject to the £268,275 lump sum allowance). The remaining 75% is taxed as income at your marginal rate when withdrawn. Spreading withdrawals across tax years usually reduces tax.
Yes. Drawdown decisions are complex and irreversible in some cases. Professional advice is strongly recommended — especially around tax, sustainable withdrawal rates and investment strategy.

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